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‘Xi appears weak’ Jinping sent warning after U-turn to ease Covid restrictions in China | World | News

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Moves by China’s ruling Communist Party to finally loosen a draconian “zero Covid” policy follow more than 50 protests in the last week across the country in what is being called the “White paper revolution” – where young people are holding up protest signs without wording to signify lack of freedom of speech.

In a significant shift, protests have included overt calls for Xi – fresh from a successful 20th CCP National Congress where he secured himself another term in office – to step down.

The unexpected policy vault-face by Beijing partially anticipated an expected increase in protests in the run-up to International  Human Rights Day on December 10.

But last night experts said the decision also looked forward to January’s Lunar New Year, where tens of millions of Chinese people travel to see loved ones in the world’s largest human migration event.

“XI had a choice: sustaining a lockdown meant entire tranches of China not being allowed to participate in the Lunar New Year which, for many, is the only time in the year when they see family. This would have  increased tensions considerably,“ said US China expert Dean Cheng.

“So he has decided to roll the dice in a shift in policy which also carries many risks.  Not only does it make him appear weak, but it will allow people moving from one region to another to share their experiences  of corruption, inconsistencies, of people being welded into apartments. These are no longer abstract problems.”

“This means that Xi’s hope that blame sits with local administrations evaporates. It becomes a national problem, a party problem and, because he rejected the collectivism of his predecessors by concentrating all power on to himself, a  Xi problem.”

He added: “What happens when Covid begins to spread? In China, everyone’s phones have these COVID detection applications which aren’t likely to be turned off, so you’ll still have people setting off Covid alarms. Will the government still be able to quarantine people, as they did at Shanghai’s Disney resort? And what happens if this follows the roll out of China’s eight vaccines, which many are reluctant to take?”

“This decision to ease restrictions may alleviate pressure for the CCP in the short term, but there’s more pressure to come.”

According to research by Shanghai’s Fudan University, Xi’s preference of containment over vaccination, which has left China’s population without any herd immunity, could result in a death toll exceeding one million pensioners and vulnerable people – a humanitarian catastrophe not seen in China since the Great famines 40 years ago.

And, despite the government blocking of mobile networks and comment sections in social media platforms like Weibo, it will be difficult to cover up.

“These protests are nationwide, and Xi’s biggest priority right now is to establish how, despite  all the internet controls in place, the videos are getting out,” said Cheng.

“There is a hole in the Great Firewall of China and it raises fundamental questions as to whether local authorities, which are taking the brunt of these protests despite following CCP policy, are complicit.”

Though it has just recently captured international attention, Covid protests have been ongoing for months, prompted by a series of events.

These include a fire in Urumqi, Xinjiang, which killed 10 people in a building that had been under lockdown for weeks, a bus crash killing 27 people being taken to a so-called “Quarantine facility” in Guizhou province, the decision to lock down a large part of Shenzhen city over a handful of cases.

With sudden lockdowns having already dented the confidence of foreign investors, protests have now moved beyond disaffected youth to factory workers which may impact key Chinese exports of things like electric vehicles.

But draconian Covid measures is just the latest of a series of shockwaves to have dented popular confidence in the CCP.

The bursting of a speculator real estate bubble – which saw the price of apartments increase so much that they now take 50 years of average earnings to afford, and over-leveraged developers insist on mortgage payments a year before construction was completed – has led to 330 homeowner groups across 100 cities stop paying, resulting in a £250bn shortfall.

A further 400,000 people have been denied access to savings following a series of bank runs in Northern China, with those  protestors dispersed after  the deliberately false activation of their Covid apps, which would find them facing harsh punishment if found to be outside their homes.

With youth unemployment now running at 20 per cent, two movements have emerged  – Tang Ping, or Lie-flat, and Bai Lan, or Let it Rot – with disaffected youngsters stating that there seems little point in running  the rat race or working hard.

And, externally, China’s flagship Belt and Road Initiative – intended to create jobs and extend influence  by offering infrastructure  to primarily developing nations – has also failed, with Beijing  forced to renegotiate $150bn in debt last year as more countries refuse to repay extortionate rates of interest.

While most experts believe Xi is safe for now, he is “running out of runway” , said Cheng.

“You have a leadership whose crisis-fighting resources are already stretched. Even if he gets through the Lunar New Year, he doesn’t have much space to manoeuvre.”

“One more crisis, such as a humanitarian disaster, wouldn’t be the last straw to break the camel’s back, but the bale of hay.”

Former Diplomat Matthew Henderson added: “People have been warning that if economic growth drops below a certain level the CCP will not be able to sustain its control. Current targets of 5 pc growth are much lower than previous targets, yet still cannot be sustained,” said former diplomat Matthew Henderson.

“The social contract is broken. There is no safety net for families, no employment opportunities for graduates, and  -despite efforts by the CCP to raise the birth rate –  young people forced to look after their parents don’t want their own children because they just can’t afford to have them.”

“’China is facing a crisis as bad as the end of the cultural revolution. And if any one plank doesn’t hold, the rest will fold.”





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The 8 contenders to be next pope – with 1 considered the favourite to succeed Pope Franci | World | News

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As the world said goodbye to His Holiness Pope Francis at his funeral in Rome today (Saturday), machinations are already underway in the background to decide who will become his successor. Several key players are emerging as potential candidates who could be voted for during the secretive Conclave ceremony due to take place next month. Only cardinals under the age of 80 are eligible to vote.

During the ancient ritual more than 130 Catholic cardinals will cast their votes for who they think should become the next head of the Holy See. According to betting firm William Hill, cardinal Pietro Parolin is the early favourite with odds of 9/4.

Next among the religious runners and riders is Luis Antonio Tagle priced at 3/1, if successful he would also become the first pontiff of Asian heritage.

Scroll down for the full list of cardinals and odds…

Spokesperson for William Hill, Lee Phelps, said: “There’s already plenty of speculation on who the Vatican will announce as the next Pope to follow Pope Francis, and currently we make the Vatican Secretary of State, Pietro Parolin, our favourite at 9/4.

“Luis Antonio Tagle is second in our market at 3/1 and would become the first Asian Pope in history, while Matteo Zuppi and Peter Turkson are both priced at 6/1.”

There are just a handful of Catholic cardinals across the UK and Ireland, some of whom are expected to cast a vote for the next pope. Technically, any baptised Catholic man is eligible to become the next pontiff, but for centuries only cardinals have been chosen.

Both cardinal Timothy Radcliffe, 79, who is from London, and Archbishop of Westminster cardinal Vincent Nichols, 79, appeared to rule themselves out of the papal election contest.

This week cardinal Nichols told reporters he was “too old, not capable”, while cardinal Radcliffe said he believed the Holy Spirit was “far too wise to even think of me (as pope) for the shortest moment”.

Cardinal Arthur Roche, 75, from West Yorkshire, is the youngest of the UK and Ireland’s cardinals. He is based in Rome and has been a key adviser to Pope Francis in recent years.

Cardinal Michael Fitzgerald, from Birmingham, will turn 88 in August, meaning he will be unable to vote for a new pope, and cardinal Sean Brady, Ireland’s only Catholic cardinal, will turn 86 this summer and so is also unable to vote due to his age.

Scotland currently has no Catholic cardinals. It is not thought that any of the UK or Irish cardinals are among the favourites expected to succeed Pope Francis.

At the time of writing, William Hill had odds on the following cardinals to be the next Pope.

Pietro Parolin – 9/4

Luis Antonio Tagle – 3/1

Peter Turkson – 6/1

Matteo Zuppi – 6/1

Robert Sarah – 8/1

Pierbattista Pizzaballa – 8/1

Peter Erdo – 10/1

Bar – 16/1



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Iran explosion: More than 500 injured after devastating blast at Bandar Abbas oil port | World | News

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More than 500 people are reported injured after huge explosion at an Iranian oil facility in Bandar Abbas, on the south coast. The site, which is one of Iran’s main oil facilities, could be seen in video footage engulfed in large plumes of smoke.

Iranian state media outlet Tasnim reports that local emergency services have described large amounts of scattered glass and debris being sprayed across a wide area. Emergency services working on the area have said “the port remains in a state of chaos” as precise casualty numbers and any fatalities remain unknown. The cause of the explosion remains unclear at this stage, but local media site Tasnim reports a fuel tank had “exploded for an unknown reason”.

A local crisis management official told state TV: “The source of this incident was the explosion of several containers stored in the Shahid Rajaee Port wharf area.

“We are currently evacuating and transferring the injured to medical centres.”

State TV has blamed “negligence in handling flammable materials” for the explosion.

Local media footage shows confused scenes in the aftermath, with men lying on the ground and the uninjured attempting to provide first aid to those in need.

A spokesperson for the country’s emergency services said that 516 people are known to have been injured.

Mehrdad Hasanzadeh, a provincial disaster management official, told Iranian state TV that emergency services were attempting to make their way to the site of the explosion, while others are attempting to safely evacuate it.

Efforts are still ongoing to extinguish fires on the site with the explosion believed to have been heard as far away as Qeshm, an island 26 kilometres (16 miles) south of Bandar Abbas.

Rajaei port is around 650 miles southeast of Iran’s capital, Tehran, on the Strait of Hormuz, the narrow mouth of the Persian Gulf through which 20% of all oil traded passes.

The blast comes as Iran prepares to open talks on a potential nuclear deal with the United States, for the third round of negotiations over Tehran’s rapidly advancing nuclear program

US President Donald Trump, who is in Rome for the funeral of Pope Francis has warned that Iran “cannot be allowed to have a nuclear weapon.”



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Donald Trump joins world leaders for Pope’s funeral after hailing ‘fantastic’ Francis | World | News

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Donald Trump, one of the most prominent attendees at Pope Francis‘s funeral, was pictured inside St Peter’s Basilica as he paid tribute to Pope Francis ahead of the funeral. The US President, accompanied by his wife Melania Trump, travelled to Italy and the Vatican on Friday, hours before the televised funeral was due to begin.

Ahead of his departure from the White House, Mr Trump praised the late pontiff, describing him as a “very good man”. He added: “He loved the world, and he was just a good man. I met him twice, I thought he was a fantastic kind of a guy”.

On arrival, the US President and First Lady could be seen paying their respects at the foot of the casket, pausing silently for a few moments.

Also present in Rome was Trump’s predecessor Joe Biden, a practising Catholic and vocal admirer of the late pontiff.

Mr Biden has described the Pope as one of the “most consequential” Popes in modern times, with the pontiff instigating a range of reforms which modernised the Roman Catholic Church.

Such progressive ideas made Pope Francis unpopular in some quarters, especially amongst ultra-conservative Christians, many of whom are vocal supporters of Donald Trump.

In the wake of the death, MAGA acolyte and congresswoman Majorie Taylor Greene posted that “Evil is being defeated by the hand of God,” in an apparent reference to the pontiff’s death.

Others within the MAGA world have expressed support for the election of a more conservative Cardinal to become the next Pope, such as Cardinal Robert Sarah of Guinea, a vocal opponent of same-sex marriage and gender ideology.

Nick Sortor, a popular MAGA podcast host with 953,000 followers posted on X: “Wow! One of the frontrunners for Pope, Cardinal Robert Sarah, is a hardliner against mass migration.”

Fellow MAGA influencer Joey Mannarino, with 613,000 followers, quoted the Cardinal and said: “Make him the next Pope!”

European leaders are keen for Trump to meet with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky in the margins of the funeral in order to discuss a potential peace plan in Ukraine.

A tight deadline between the service and Trump’s scheduled departure could prevent the two from getting the opportunity to discuss the conflict, with the Italian government warning that any diplomatic meeting would be viewed as disrespectful.



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